Click me! S. Click here to see the Senate forecast. All rights reserved. The criteria being used for a contested state is that either or both of the following is true: State had less than a 2.5% difference in the vote between Clinton and Trump in 2016; Current RCP poll average shows a flip in the sate with at least a 3% margin in favor of the flip. All market data delayed 20 minutes. President Trump is running out of time. FiveThirtyEight pollster Nate Silver insisted on Sunday that President Trump can "absolutely win" the 2020 presidential election despite his significant dip in the polls against former Vice President Joe Biden. "Instead, Trump is fighting a two-front war with problems in the Midwest on one hand and Arizona and Florida on the other hand. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten,
Shown above is the Electoral Map with the contested states shown in gray and tallied as "close." On ABC News' Sunday program "This Week," Silver debuted his national polling average, showing Biden having a 9-point advantage over Trump, but noted that national polling "doesn't really matter" since Hillary Clinton isn't president today, alluding to the fact that the candidate must win the electoral college in order to become president like Trump did back in 2016. All rights reserved. But he definitely has his work cut out for him.”, Get all the stories you need-to-know from the most powerful name in news delivered first thing every morning to your inbox. H. Click here to see the House forecast + Looking for the national forecast? Fox News poll shows Biden widens lead over Trump. The ABC News 2020 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2020 Presidential Election. https://www.foxnews.com/media/pollster-nate-silver-trump-can-win-2020-election Silver noted that Clinton had a 7-point lead over Trump and that President Obama led Sen. John McCain by 6 points at this point in the race back in 2008. ©2020 FOX News Network, LLC.
"So Trump needs to make a comeback. ", He stressed, though, "I want to be really clear, Trump can absolutely win reelection. The pollster then looked at the electoral map, where he says Biden is leading Trump in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, as well as Arizona and indicated that the presumptive Democratic nominee has more paths to 270 electoral votes by flipping very few states that Trump won. Again, there's plenty of time for that and maybe also get some help from the electoral college," Silver observed. Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight . JOY BEHAR WARNS DEMS THAT BIDEN ISN'T A 'SHOO-IN DESPITE POLLS: TRUMP VOTERS ARE 'IN LOVE' WITH POTUS. "So for the time being, no, I don't buy that we're going to have the exact same map as we did in 2016," Silver explained. All market data delayed 20 minutes. P. Click here to see the presidential forecast. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle. ©2020 FOX News Network, LLC. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Latest news. or redistributed. GOPAC Chairman David Avella and Johns Hopkins University Professor Wendy Osefo weigh in on 'America's News HQ.'. Oct. 20, 2020. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.